Pemex CEO Juan Carlos Carpio Fragoso told the Energy Commission of the Chamber of Deputies on November 9, 2026 that the state oil company expects to cover between 85% and 90% of demand for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel in 2030. With Deer Park included, its seven refineries and the Texas plant will complete the supply.
The projection was presented during his appearance for the Second Government Report, alongside an investment plan of 1.8 trillion pesos through 2030, according to El Economista. The amount is directed mainly to exploration and production, as well as refinery maintenance, petrochemicals and fertilizers. The key volume is production of 1.8 million barrels per day, of which 1.45 million will go to refining and fuels and 300,000 to exports to meet the financial balance. For Mexico the figure matters because the country buys a significant share of the gasoline it consumes abroad, and every barrel refined domestically reduces the foreign-currency bill.
The gap between the target and the starting point shows up in the import figures. In August 2026, 48% of domestic gasoline consumption came from abroad, according to PetroIntelligence data cited by Energía a Debate, and for diesel the proportion was 35%. The most striking case is Premium gasoline: at the close of the third quarter, Pemex imported 88% of the volume it sold, with 134,216 barrels per day marketed against 16,166 produced by the seven refineries. The official calculation rests on the cokers at Tula and Salina Cruz, which reprocess fuel oil to turn it into higher-value products. At the same appearance, the executive stated: "Deer Park plus our seven refineries can supply the national market without any problem."
The target will be tested with each monthly import report and with the completion of the two cokers, which the company described as projects in progress. For 2027, Carpio mentioned a federal contribution of 81,000 million pesos, according to El Economista. The next figure to watch is the pace of crude intake at Tula and Salina Cruz.
This article was written with the assistance of artificial intelligence from verified sources and reviewed by a human editor before publication.
