The Draft Federal Budget for 2027 (PPEF 2027) proposes transferring 3.048 trillion pesos to the states, a real increase of 4.6% over what was approved for 2026. Of that total, 914,835 million pesos go to the 17 states that will elect a new governor next year, according to the document delivered to Congress on September 8, 2026.

The weight of those transfers is structural. Federalized spending equals more than 80% of states' total revenue, according to Expansión Política. For 2027, Federal Participations (Ramo 28), which are freely disposable, grow 3% in real terms, while Federal Contributions (Ramo 33), earmarked for education, health and public security, rise 5.9%, according to El Universal. Participable Federal Revenue is estimated at 5.7 trillion pesos, 7.2% more in nominal terms than in 2026, and the distribution is settled in the same year that the Chamber of Deputies and 17 governorships are renewed.

Among the states holding a governorship election, the largest amounts under Ramo 28 and Ramo 33 go to Nuevo León, with 121,608 million pesos; Michoacán, with 93,107 million; Guerrero, with 88,381 million; Chihuahua, with 80,652 million; and Baja California, with 75,271 million, according to Expansión Política's breakdown. Those 17 entities account for 914,835 million, 91% of the resources the Federation plans to deliver to the states. Marco Cancino, director of Inteligencia Pública, noted on the podcast Cuéntame de Economía that this is one of the few years in which participations outpace contributions. Emiliano Sánchez Salazar, of the Centro de Investigación Económica y Presupuestaria, pointed out that reliance on federal transfers conditions state finances, and recommended expanding own-source revenue, such as the property tax and the vehicle ownership tax.

The draft now moves to the Chamber of Deputies, which must approve it by November 15 at the latest. The amounts per entity can change during the debate, and the final figure will define the spending margin of the 17 entities that will go to the polls in 2027.

This article was written with the assistance of artificial intelligence based on verified sources and reviewed by a human editor before publication.